Toronto Will Need to Double Rental Supply to Meet Future Demand

A new report from RBC Economics focuses on the rental housing deficit, which is set to intensify in the coming years, especially in Toronto and Vancouver.

The report says that the supply of new rental homes will need to pick up the pace to meet future demand; in Toronto, the pace must double. In the meantime, lack of supply is leading to “uncomfortable highs” for rents – which means those hoping to save up to buy a home are squeezed even further while high home prices have “crushed some homeownership dreams.”

RBC says that big cities must increase rental supply to have any hope of tackling affordability issues.

Montreal and Vancouver are showing positive signs where there are increased supply underway, and in Calgary where there are elevated rental vacancies

But in Toronto, the report says supply will not come close to demand in the coming years and calls for specific targets and incentives to address the issue.

Deficit needs action
RBC Economics’ estimates the supply necessary to balance out supply and demand in the major markets as of late 2018 are a shortage of 9,100 rental units in Toronto, 6,800 unit deficit in Montreal and Vancouver 3,800 units. Calgary carried a small surplus of 300 units.

This will be exacerbated by the estimated increase in renter-households of 22,000 in Toronto and 9,400 in Vancouver over the medium term, with Montreal averaging 8,200 per year on average.

The report estimates that Toronto will need 28,600 new rental units on average over a two-year timeframe with 11,600 in Montreal, 11,300 in Vancouver and 4,150 in Calgary.

Source: repmag.ca

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